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COL Κολομβία - Πριμέρα A · Αγώνας ·

Ντεπορτίβο Πάστο vs Ντεπορτίβο Κάλι

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου39%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου29%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ντεπορτίβο ΠάστοΝτεπορτίβο Κάλι
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω63% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
39% / 31% / 29%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ντεπορτίβο Κάλι win (29.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X70.7%1.41
Άνω 37% · Κάτω 63%Goals 2.5Κάτω63%1.59
Ναι 43% · Όχι 57%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ντεπορτίβο Πάστο win39%2.562.4039.2%-0.2 pp
Ισοπαλία31%3.233.0031.4%-0.4 pp
Ντεπορτίβο Κάλι win29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ντεπορτίβο Πάστο1.21

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 37% · Κάτω 63%

Ντεπορτίβο Κάλι0.95

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 43% · Όχι 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ντεπορτίβο Πάστο

0.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Πόντοι0

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ντεπορτίβο Κάλι

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
29%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.21
Expected goals
0.95
Ντεπορτίβο ΠάστοΝτεπορτίβο Κάλι
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ντεπορτίβο Πάστο signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ντεπορτίβο Κάλι signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Ντεπορτίβο Πάστο vs Ντεπορτίβο Κάλι FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ντεπορτίβο Πάστο νίκη 39%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Ντεπορτίβο Κάλι νίκη 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Άνω 2.5 37% · Current selection Κάτω