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COL Kolumbia - Primera A · Zápas ·

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich37%
Remíza31%
Výhra hostí32%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej63% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
37% / 31% / 32%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.2%)Dvojitá šanca1268.8%1.45
Viac 37% · Menej 63%Goals 2.5Menej63%1.59
Áno 43% · Nie 57%Oba tímy skórujúNie57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.1 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapDeportivo Pasto winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Pasto win37%2.702.6036.1%+0.9 pp
Remíza31%3.233.0031.3%-0.3 pp
Deportivo Cali win32%3.132.8832.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Pasto1.21

Domáci share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 37% · Menej 63%

Deportivo Cali0.95

Hostia share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 43% · Nie 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Deportivo Pasto

0.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Body0

SignalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Deportivo Cali

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalHostia matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Výhra probability excluding draw
32%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.21
Expected goals
0.95
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Pasto signalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Cali signalHostia matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Pasto výhra 37%,Remíza 31%,Deportivo Cali výhra 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Viac 2.5 37% · Current selection Menej