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COL Kolumbia - Primera A · Zápas ·

Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca Chico

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–02.81 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich66%
Remíza22%
Výhra hostí12%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich66% selection probability
Projected score2–0Independiente Santa FeBoyaca Chico
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac53% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
66% / 22% / 12%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boyaca Chico win (11.7%)Dvojitá šanca1X88.3%1.13
Viac 53% · Menej 47%Goals 2.5Viac53%1.89
Áno 33% · Nie 67%Oba tímy skórujúNie67%1.49
2.81 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–0
8.5 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente Santa Fe winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente Santa Fe win66%1.521.4464.8%+1.2 pp
Remíza22%4.554.1022.8%-0.8 pp
Boyaca Chico win12%8.337.5012.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente Santa Fe2.36

Domáci share of expected goals 84%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 53% · Menej 47%

Boyaca Chico0.45

Hostia share of expected goals 16%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitÁno 33% · Nie 67%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Independiente Santa Fe

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Boyaca Chico

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Výhra probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
6
2.36
Expected goals
0.45
Independiente Santa FeBoyaca Chico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente Santa Fe signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Boyaca Chico signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca Chico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–0 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente Santa Fe výhra 66%,Remíza 22%,Boyaca Chico výhra 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Viac 2.5 53% · Current selection Viac