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COL Columbia - Primera A · Meci ·

Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca Chico

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–02.81 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde66%
Egal22%
Victorie oaspeți12%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde66% selection probability
Projected score2–0Independiente Santa FeBoyaca Chico
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
66% / 22% / 12%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boyaca Chico win (11.7%)Șansă dublă1X88.3%1.13
Peste 53% · Sub 47%Goals 2.5Peste53%1.89
Da 33% · Nu 67%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu67%1.49
2.81 total expected goalsScor corect2–0
8.5 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente Santa Fe winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente Santa Fe win66%1.521.4464.8%+1.2 pp
Egal22%4.554.1022.8%-0.8 pp
Boyaca Chico win12%8.337.5012.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente Santa Fe2.36

Gazde share of expected goals 84%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 53% · Sub 47%

Boyaca Chico0.45

Oaspeți share of expected goals 16%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitDa 33% · Nu 67%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Independiente Santa Fe

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Boyaca Chico

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Câștig probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
6
2.36
Expected goals
0.45
Independiente Santa FeBoyaca Chico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente Santa Fe signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Boyaca Chico signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca Chico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–0 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente Santa Fe câștig 66%,Egal 22%,Boyaca Chico câștig 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Peste 2.5 53% · Current selection Peste