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COL Colombia - Categoría Primera A · Partido ·

Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca Chico

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–02.81 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local66%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante12%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local66% selection probability
Projected score2–0Independiente Santa FeBoyaca Chico
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de53% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
66% / 22% / 12%Resultado del partidoVictoria local66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boyaca Chico win (11.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X88.3%1.13
Más de 53% · Menos de 47%Goals 2.5Más de53%1.89
Sí 33% · No 67%Ambos equipos marcanNo67%1.49
2.81 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–0
8.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente Santa Fe winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente Santa Fe win66%1.521.4464.8%+1.2 pp
Empate22%4.554.1022.8%-0.8 pp
Boyaca Chico win12%8.337.5012.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente Santa Fe2.36

Local share of expected goals 84%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 53% · Menos de 47%

Boyaca Chico0.45

Visitante share of expected goals 16%

Projected score2–0BTTS split 33% · No 67%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Independiente Santa Fe

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Boyaca Chico

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Ganado probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
6
2.36
Expected goals
0.45
Independiente Santa FeBoyaca Chico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente Santa Fe signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Boyaca Chico signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca Chico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–0 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente Santa Fe ganada 66%,Empate 22%,Boyaca Chico ganada 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Más de 2.5 53% · Current selection Más de