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COL Kolumbia - Primera A · Mérkőzés ·

Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca Chico

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–02.81 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem70%
Döntetlen20%
Vendég győzelem9%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem70% selection probability
Projected score2–0Independiente Santa FeBoyaca Chico
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett53% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
70% / 20% / 9%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boyaca Chico win (9.4%)Dupla esély1X90.6%1.10
Felett 53% · Alatt 47%Goals 2.5Felett53%1.89
Igen 33% · Nem 67%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem67%1.49
2.81 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–0
8.5 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente Santa Fe win70%1.431.3669.2%+0.8 pp
Döntetlen20%5.004.5020.9%-0.9 pp
Boyaca Chico win9%11.119.509.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente Santa Fe2.36

Hazai share of expected goals 84%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 53% · Alatt 47%

Boyaca Chico0.45

Vendég share of expected goals 16%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitIgen 33% · Nem 67%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Independiente Santa Fe

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Boyaca Chico

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontok6

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Nyert probability excluding draw
9%
10
Points from supplied form
6
2.36
Expected goals
0.45
Independiente Santa FeBoyaca Chico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente Santa Fe signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Boyaca Chico signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca Chico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–0 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente Santa Fe nyer 70%,Döntetlen 20%,Boyaca Chico nyer 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · 2.5 felett 53% · Current selection Felett