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COL Kolumbia - Primera A · Mérkőzés ·

Fortaleza CEIF vs Cucuta Deportivo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem59%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem15%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Fortaleza CEIFCucuta Deportivo
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett56% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
59% / 26% / 15%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cucuta Deportivo win (14.8%)Dupla esély1X85.2%1.17
Felett 56% · Alatt 44%Goals 2.5Felett56%1.79
Igen 54% · Nem 46%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen54%1.85
2.91 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.9 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapFortaleza CEIF winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fortaleza CEIF win59%1.691.5759.6%-0.6 pp
Döntetlen26%3.853.6026%0.0 pp
Cucuta Deportivo win15%6.676.5014.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortaleza CEIF1.90

Hazai share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 56% · Alatt 44%

Cucuta Deportivo1.01

Vendég share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 54% · Nem 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Fortaleza CEIF

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Cucuta Deportivo

0.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontok2

SignalVendég failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Nyert probability excluding draw
15%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.90
Expected goals
1.01
Fortaleza CEIFCucuta Deportivo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortaleza CEIF signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cucuta Deportivo signalVendég failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Fortaleza CEIF vs Cucuta Deportivo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortaleza CEIF nyer 59%,Döntetlen 26%,Cucuta Deportivo nyer 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · 2.5 felett 56% · Current selection Felett