MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
COL Colombia Primera A · Fixture ·

Fortaleza CEIF vs Cucuta Deportivo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Away form
Home win59%
Draw26%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Fortaleza CEIFCucuta Deportivo
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
59% / 26% / 15%Match resultHome win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cucuta Deportivo win (14.8%)Double chance1X85.2%1.17
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.91 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapFortaleza CEIF winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fortaleza CEIF win59%1.691.5759.6%-0.6 pp
Draw26%3.853.6026%0.0 pp
Cucuta Deportivo win15%6.676.5014.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortaleza CEIF1.90

Home share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Cucuta Deportivo1.01

Away share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Fortaleza CEIF

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Cucuta Deportivo

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.90
Expected goals
1.01
Fortaleza CEIFCucuta Deportivo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortaleza CEIF signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cucuta Deportivo signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Fortaleza CEIF vs Cucuta Deportivo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortaleza CEIF win 59%,Draw 26%,Cucuta Deportivo win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over