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COL Colombia - Primera A · Match ·

Fortaleza CEIF vs Cucuta Deportivo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger58%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger16%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Fortaleza CEIFCucuta Deportivo
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
58% / 26% / 16%MatchresultatHemmaseger58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cucuta Deportivo win (15.9%)Dubbelchans1X84.1%1.19
Över 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Över56%1.79
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.91 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.9 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapCucuta Deportivo winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fortaleza CEIF win58%1.721.6258.1%-0.1 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.6026.2%-0.2 pp
Cucuta Deportivo win16%6.256.0015.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortaleza CEIF1.90

Hemma share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 56% · Under 44%

Cucuta Deportivo1.01

Borta share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Fortaleza CEIF

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Cucuta Deportivo

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalBorta failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
16%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.90
Expected goals
1.01
Fortaleza CEIFCucuta Deportivo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortaleza CEIF signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cucuta Deportivo signalBorta failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Fortaleza CEIF vs Cucuta Deportivo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortaleza CEIF vunnen 58%,Oavgjort 26%,Cucuta Deportivo vunnen 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Över 2.5 56% · Current selection Över