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COL Colombia - Primera A · Match ·

Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger58%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger17%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
58% / 26% / 17%MatchresultatHemmaseger58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional de Bogota win (16.5%)Dubbelchans1X83.5%1.20
Över 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Över54%1.85
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Båda lagen gör målNej54%1.85
2.84 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapDeportes Tolima winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportes Tolima win58%1.721.6556.9%+1.1 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Internacional de Bogota win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportes Tolima2.12

Hemma share of expected goals 74.6%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 54% · Under 46%

Internacional de Bogota0.72

Borta share of expected goals 25.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Deportes Tolima

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Internacional de Bogota

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
3
2.12
Expected goals
0.72
Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportes Tolima signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Internacional de Bogota signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportes Tolima vunnen 58%,Oavgjort 26%,Internacional de Bogota vunnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Över 2.5 54% · Current selection Över