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COL Colombia - Categoría Primera A · Wedstrijd ·

Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst58%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst17%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
58% / 26% / 17%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional de Bogota win (16.5%)Dubbele Kans1X83.5%1.20
Boven 54% · Onder 46%Goals 2.5Boven54%1.85
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.84 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapDeportes Tolima winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportes Tolima win58%1.721.6556.9%+1.1 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Internacional de Bogota win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportes Tolima2.12

Thuis share of expected goals 74.6%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 54% · Onder 46%

Internacional de Bogota0.72

Uit share of expected goals 25.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Deportes Tolima

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Internacional de Bogota

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
3
2.12
Expected goals
0.72
Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogota
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportes Tolima signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Internacional de Bogota signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogota FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportes Tolima gewonnen 58%,Gelijkspel 26%,Internacional de Bogota gewonnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Boven 2.5 54% · Current selection Boven