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COL Colombia - Categoría Primera A · Partido ·

Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogotá

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local58%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante17%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogotá
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
58% / 26% / 17%Resultado del partidoVictoria local58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional de Bogotá win (16.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X83.5%1.20
Más de 54% · Menos de 46%Goals 2.5Más de54%1.85
Sí 46% · No 54%Ambos equipos marcanNo54%1.85
2.84 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapDeportes Tolima winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportes Tolima win58%1.721.6556.9%+1.1 pp
Empate26%3.853.6026.1%-0.1 pp
Internacional de Bogotá win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportes Tolima2.12

Local share of expected goals 74.6%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 54% · Menos de 46%

Internacional de Bogotá0.72

Visitante share of expected goals 25.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Deportes Tolima

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Internacional de Bogotá

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Ganado probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
3
2.12
Expected goals
0.72
Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogotá
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportes Tolima signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Internacional de Bogotá signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogotá FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportes Tolima ganada 58%,Empate 26%,Internacional de Bogotá ganada 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Más de 2.5 54% · Current selection Más de