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COL Colombia - Primera A · Match ·

Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca Chico

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–02.81 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger66%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger12%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger66% selection probability
Projected score2–0Independiente Santa FeBoyaca Chico
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
66% / 22% / 12%MatchresultatHemmaseger66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boyaca Chico win (11.7%)Dubbelchans1X88.3%1.13
Över 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Över53%1.89
Ja 33% · Nej 67%Båda lagen gör målNej67%1.49
2.81 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–0
8.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapIndependiente Santa Fe winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente Santa Fe win66%1.521.4464.8%+1.2 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.1022.8%-0.8 pp
Boyaca Chico win12%8.337.5012.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente Santa Fe2.36

Hemma share of expected goals 84%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 53% · Under 47%

Boyaca Chico0.45

Borta share of expected goals 16%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 33% · Nej 67%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Independiente Santa Fe

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Boyaca Chico

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
6
2.36
Expected goals
0.45
Independiente Santa FeBoyaca Chico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente Santa Fe signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Boyaca Chico signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca Chico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–0 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente Santa Fe vunnen 66%,Oavgjort 22%,Boyaca Chico vunnen 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Över 2.5 53% · Current selection Över