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COL Columbia - Primera A · Meci ·

Fortaleza CEIF vs Cucuta Deportivo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde59%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți15%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Fortaleza CEIFCucuta Deportivo
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
59% / 26% / 15%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cucuta Deportivo win (14.8%)Șansă dublă1X85.2%1.17
Peste 56% · Sub 44%Goals 2.5Peste56%1.79
Da 54% · Nu 46%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa54%1.85
2.91 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapFortaleza CEIF winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fortaleza CEIF win59%1.691.5759.6%-0.6 pp
Egal26%3.853.6026%0.0 pp
Cucuta Deportivo win15%6.676.5014.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortaleza CEIF1.90

Gazde share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 56% · Sub 44%

Cucuta Deportivo1.01

Oaspeți share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 54% · Nu 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Fortaleza CEIF

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Cucuta Deportivo

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalOaspeți failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Câștig probability excluding draw
15%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.90
Expected goals
1.01
Fortaleza CEIFCucuta Deportivo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortaleza CEIF signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cucuta Deportivo signalOaspeți failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Fortaleza CEIF vs Cucuta Deportivo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortaleza CEIF câștig 59%,Egal 26%,Cucuta Deportivo câștig 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Peste 2.5 56% · Current selection Peste