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COL Colombie - Primera A · Match ·

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile39%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de63% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
39% / 31% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Cali win (29.3%)Double chance1X70.7%1.41
Plus de 37% · Moins de 63%Goals 2.5Moins de63%1.59
Oui 43% · Non 57%Les deux équipes marquentNon57%1.75
2.16 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Pasto win39%2.562.4039.2%-0.2 pp
Nul31%3.233.0031.4%-0.4 pp
Deportivo Cali win29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Pasto1.21

Domicile share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 37% · Moins de 63%

Deportivo Cali0.95

Extérieur share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 43% · Non 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Deportivo Pasto

0.00pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Deportivo Cali

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.21
Expected goals
0.95
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Pasto signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Cali signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Pasto victoire 39%,Nul 31%,Deportivo Cali victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Plus de 2.5 37% · Current selection Moins de