Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
71% / 17% / 12%Match resultHome win71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (11.8%)Double chance1X88.2%1.13
Over 79% · Under 21%Goals 2.5Over79%1.27
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
4.19 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Ilves win71%1.41
Draw17%5.88
IFK Mariehamn win12%8.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 79.2%
Total expected goals4.19Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 79% · Under 21%
Away share of expected goals 20.8%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchFC Ilves
LWWLD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchIFK Mariehamn
LDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
71%
Win probability excluding draw
12%7
Points from supplied form
13.32
Expected goals
0.87FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.
Match questions
FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Ilves win 71%，Draw 17%，IFK Mariehamn win 12%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.19 · Over 2.5 79% · Current selection Over。