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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Мач ·

FC Ilves vs Мариехам

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score3–14.19 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина71%
Равен17%
Победа за госта12%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина71% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC IlvesМариехам
Expected goals4.19Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над79% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
71% / 17% / 12%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Мариехам win (11.8%)Двоен шанс1X88.2%1.13
Над 79% · Под 21%Goals 2.5Над79%1.27
Да 56% · Не 44%И двата отбора да отбележатДа56%1.79
4.19 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–1
10.3 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
FC Ilves win71%1.41
Равен17%5.88
Мариехам win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves3.32

Домакин share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals4.19Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 79% · Под 21%

Мариехам0.87

Гост share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Не 44%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Мариехам

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
1
3.32
Expected goals
0.87
FC IlvesМариехам
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мариехам signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs Мариехам FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves печеливш 71%,Равен 17%,Мариехам печеливш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.19 · Над 2.5 79% · Current selection Над