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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Αγώνας ·

FC Ilves vs Μάριεχαμν

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score3–14.20 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου71%
Ισοπαλία17%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου12%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου71% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC IlvesΜάριεχαμν
Expected goals4.20Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω79% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
71% / 17% / 12%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μάριεχαμν win (11.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X88.2%1.13
Άνω 79% · Κάτω 21%Goals 2.5Άνω79%1.27
Ναι 56% · Όχι 44%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι56%1.79
4.20 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ3–1
10.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
FC Ilves win71%1.41
Ισοπαλία17%5.88
Μάριεχαμν win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves3.33

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 79.3%

Total expected goals4.20Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 79% · Κάτω 21%

Μάριεχαμν0.87

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 20.7%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitΝαι 56% · Όχι 44%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μάριεχαμν

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
1
3.33
Expected goals
0.87
FC IlvesΜάριεχαμν
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μάριεχαμν signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs Μάριεχαμν FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves νίκη 71%,Ισοπαλία 17%,Μάριεχαμν νίκη 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.20 · Άνω 2.5 79% · Current selection Άνω