Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
71% / 17% / 12%Esito partitaVittoria casa71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Mariehamn win (11.8%)Doppia Chance1X88.2%1.13
Sopra 79% · Sotto 21%Goals 2.5Sopra79%1.27
Sì 56% · No 44%Entrambe le squadre segnanoSì56%1.79
4.20 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1——
10.4 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
FC Ilves win71%1.41
Pareggio17%5.88
IFK Mariehamn win12%8.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 79.3%
Total expected goals4.20Apertura
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 79% · Sotto 21%
Trasferta share of expected goals 20.7%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitSì 56% · No 44%Match profileApertura
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchFC Ilves
LWWLD
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchIFK Mariehamn
LDLLL
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1
SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
71%
Vinta probability excluding draw
12%7
Points from supplied form
13.33
Expected goals
0.87FC IlvesIFK Mariehamn
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 17%.
Match questions
FC Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FC Ilves vinta 71%，Pareggio 17%，IFK Mariehamn vinta 12%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.20 · Sopra 2.5 79% · Current selection Sopra。