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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Partita ·

KuPS Kuopio vs TPS

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.36 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa53%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite19%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa53% selection probability
Projected score2–1KuPS KuopioTPS
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto58% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
53% / 28% / 19%Esito partitaVittoria casa53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes TPS win (19.1%)Doppia Chance1X80.9%1.24
Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%Goals 2.5Sotto58%1.72
Sì 40% · No 60%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60%1.67
2.36 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
KuPS Kuopio win53%1.89
Pareggio28%3.57
TPS win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KuPS Kuopio1.70

Casa share of expected goals 72%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%

TPS0.66

Trasferta share of expected goals 28%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

KuPS Kuopio

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

TPS

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vinta probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.70
Expected goals
0.66
KuPS KuopioTPS
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KuPS Kuopio signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02TPS signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

KuPS Kuopio vs TPS FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KuPS Kuopio vinta 53%,Pareggio 28%,TPS vinta 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Sopra 2.5 42% · Current selection Sotto