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FIN フィンランド ヴェイッカウスリーガ · 試合 ·

FCイルヴェス vs IFKマリエハムン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score3–14.19 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利71%
引き分け17%
アウェイ勝利12%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利71% selection probability
Projected score3–1FCイルヴェスIFKマリエハムン
Expected goals4.19始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー79% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
71% / 17% / 12%試合結果ホーム勝利71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFKマリエハムン win (11.8%)ダブルチャンス1X88.2%1.13
オーバー 79% · アンダー 21%Goals 2.5オーバー79%1.27
はい 56% · いいえ 44%両チーム得点はい56%1.79
4.19 total expected goals正確なスコア3–1
10.3 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
FCイルヴェス win71%1.41
引き分け17%5.88
IFKマリエハムン win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FCイルヴェス3.32

ホーム share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals4.19始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 79% · アンダー 21%

IFKマリエハムン0.87

アウェイ share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitはい 56% · いいえ 44%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FCイルヴェス

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

IFKマリエハムン

0.20pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn1Losses4ポイント1

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
勝ち probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
1
3.32
Expected goals
0.87
FCイルヴェスIFKマリエハムン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FCイルヴェス signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFKマリエハムン signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

FCイルヴェス vs IFKマリエハムン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 3–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FCイルヴェス 勝ち 71%,引き分け 17%,IFKマリエハムン 勝ち 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.19 · オーバー 2.5 79% · Current selection オーバー