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PRT ポルトガル プリメイラリーガ · 試合 ·

ブラガ vs ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利55%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利20%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利55% selection probability
Projected score2–1ブラガヴィトーリア・ギマランイス
Expected goals3.14始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー61% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
55% / 25% / 20%試合結果ホーム勝利55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス win (19.7%)ダブルチャンス1X80.3%1.25
オーバー 61% · アンダー 39%Goals 2.5オーバー61%1.64
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
3.14 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapブラガ winDifference+0.9 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ブラガ win55%1.821.7054.1%+0.9 pp
引き分け25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス win20%5.004.5020.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ブラガ2.27

ホーム share of expected goals 72.3%

Total expected goals3.14始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 61% · アンダー 39%

ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス0.87

アウェイ share of expected goals 27.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ブラガ

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
勝ち probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.87
ブラガヴィトーリア・ギマランイス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ブラガ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス signalホーム clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ブラガ vs ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ブラガ 勝ち 55%,引き分け 25%,ヴィトーリア・ギマランイス 勝ち 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · オーバー 2.5 61% · Current selection オーバー