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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Partida ·

SC Braga vs Vitória de Guimarães

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa55%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante20%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa55% selection probability
Projected score2–1SC BragaVitória de Guimarães
Expected goals3.14Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima61% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
55% / 25% / 20%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vitória de Guimarães win (19.7%)Dupla Chance1X80.3%1.25
Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%Goals 2.5Acima61%1.64
Sim 53% · Não 47%Ambas as equipes marcamSim53%1.89
3.14 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapSC Braga winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Braga win55%1.821.7054.1%+0.9 pp
Empate25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Vitória de Guimarães win20%5.004.5020.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Braga2.27

Mandante share of expected goals 72.3%

Total expected goals3.14Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%

Vitória de Guimarães0.87

Visitante share of expected goals 27.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 53% · Não 47%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

SC Braga

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Vitória de Guimarães

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.87
SC BragaVitória de Guimarães
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Braga signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitória de Guimarães signalMandante clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SC Braga vs Vitória de Guimarães FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Braga ganhou 55%,Empate 25%,Vitória de Guimarães ganhou 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Acima 2.5 61% · Current selection Acima