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PRT Portugalia - Primeira Liga · Mecz ·

Braga vs Guimaraes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy55%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości20%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy55% selection probability
Projected score2–1BragaGuimaraes
Expected goals3.14Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej61% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
55% / 25% / 20%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guimaraes win (19.7%)Podwójna szansa1X80.3%1.25
Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%Goals 2.5Powyżej61%1.64
Tak 53% · Nie 47%Obie drużyny strzeląTak53%1.89
3.14 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapBraga winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Braga win55%1.821.7054.1%+0.9 pp
Remis25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Guimaraes win20%5.004.5020.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Braga2.27

Gospodarze share of expected goals 72.3%

Total expected goals3.14Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 61% · Poniżej 39%

Guimaraes0.87

Goście share of expected goals 27.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 53% · Nie 47%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Braga

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Guimaraes

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.87
BragaGuimaraes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Braga signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guimaraes signalGospodarze clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Braga vs Guimaraes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Braga wygrana 55%,Remis 25%,Guimaraes wygrana 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Powyżej 2.5 61% · Current selection Powyżej