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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Spiel ·

Braga vs Guimaraes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg55%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg20%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg55% selection probability
Projected score2–1BragaGuimaraes
Expected goals3.14Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
55% / 25% / 20%SpielergebnisHeimsieg55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guimaraes win (19.7%)Doppelte Chance1X80.3%1.25
Über 61% · Unter 39%Goals 2.5Über61%1.64
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
3.14 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapBraga winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Braga win55%1.821.7054.1%+0.9 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Guimaraes win20%5.004.5020.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Braga2.27

Heim share of expected goals 72.3%

Total expected goals3.14Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 61% · Unter 39%

Guimaraes0.87

Auswärts share of expected goals 27.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Braga

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Guimaraes

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.87
BragaGuimaraes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Braga signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guimaraes signalHeim clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Braga vs Guimaraes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Braga Gewinn 55%,Unentschieden 25%,Guimaraes Gewinn 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Über 2.5 61% · Current selection Über