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PRT Portugália - Primeira Liga · Mérkőzés ·

Braga vs Guimaraes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem55%
Döntetlen25%
Vendég győzelem20%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem55% selection probability
Projected score2–1BragaGuimaraes
Expected goals3.14Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett61% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
55% / 25% / 20%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guimaraes win (19.7%)Dupla esély1X80.3%1.25
Felett 61% · Alatt 39%Goals 2.5Felett61%1.64
Igen 53% · Nem 47%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen53%1.89
3.14 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.6 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapBraga winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Braga win55%1.821.7054.1%+0.9 pp
Döntetlen25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Guimaraes win20%5.004.5020.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Braga2.27

Hazai share of expected goals 72.3%

Total expected goals3.14Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 61% · Alatt 39%

Guimaraes0.87

Vendég share of expected goals 27.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 53% · Nem 47%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Braga

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Guimaraes

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Nyert probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.87
BragaGuimaraes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Braga signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guimaraes signalHazai clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Braga vs Guimaraes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Braga nyer 55%,Döntetlen 25%,Guimaraes nyer 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · 2.5 felett 61% · Current selection Felett