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PRT Portugal Primeira Liga · Trận đấu ·

Braga vs Guimaraes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–13.14 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng55%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng20%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng55% selection probability
Projected score2–1BragaGuimaraes
Expected goals3.14Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài61% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
55% / 25% / 20%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guimaraes win (19.7%)Cơ hội kép1X80.3%1.25
Tài 61% · Xỉu 39%Goals 2.5Tài61%1.64
Có 53% · Không 47%Cả hai đội ghi bàn53%1.89
3.14 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
8.6 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapBraga winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Braga win55%1.821.7054.1%+0.9 pp
Hòa25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Guimaraes win20%5.004.5020.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Braga2.27

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 72.3%

Total expected goals3.14Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 61% · Xỉu 39%

Guimaraes0.87

Khách share of expected goals 27.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · Không 47%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Braga

2.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Điểm11

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Guimaraes

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Thắng probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
7
2.27
Expected goals
0.87
BragaGuimaraes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Braga signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guimaraes signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Braga vs Guimaraes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Braga thắng 55%,Hòa 25%,Guimaraes thắng 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Tài 2.5 61% · Current selection Tài