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サウスメルボルン vs フリーマントル・シティFC

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.86 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利35%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利40%
Baseline forecastアウェイ勝利Tier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1サウスメルボルンフリーマントル・シティFC
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
35% / 25% / 40%試合結果アウェイ勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)ダブルチャンス1275%1.33
オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%Goals 2.5オーバー54%1.85
はい 58% · いいえ 42%両チーム得点はい58%1.72
2.86 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
サウスメルボルン win35%2.86
引き分け25%4.00
フリーマントル・シティFC win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

サウスメルボルン1.38

ホーム share of expected goals 48.3%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%

フリーマントル・シティFC1.48

アウェイ share of expected goals 51.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 58% · いいえ 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

サウスメルボルン

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

フリーマントル・シティFC

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
勝ち probability excluding draw
40%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.38
Expected goals
1.48
サウスメルボルンフリーマントル・シティFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01サウスメルボルン signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02フリーマントル・シティFC signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

サウスメルボルン vs フリーマントル・シティFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

サウスメルボルン 勝ち 35%,引き分け 25%,フリーマントル・シティFC 勝ち 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · オーバー 2.5 54% · Current selection オーバー