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INT 澳大利亞盃 · 比賽 ·

南墨爾本 vs 弗里曼特爾城FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝73%
16%
客勝11%
Market-based forecast主勝Tier B · 73% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝73% selection probability
Projected score2–1南墨爾本弗里曼特爾城FC
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.557% for the selected side
雙方進球55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
73% / 16% / 11%比賽結果主勝73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 弗里曼特爾城FC win (10.9%)雙重機會1X89.1%1.12
大 57% · 小 43%Goals 2.557%1.75
是 55% · 否 45%雙方進球55%1.82
2.91 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claim
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
南墨爾本 win73%1.371.1876.5%
16%6.256.2514.4%
弗里曼特爾城FC win11%9.0910.009%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

南墨爾本1.98

主隊 share of expected goals 68%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 57% · 43%

弗里曼特爾城FC0.93

客隊 share of expected goals 32%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 55% · 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

南墨爾本

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

弗里曼特爾城FC

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
贏 probability excluding draw
11%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.98
Expected goals
0.93
南墨爾本弗里曼特爾城FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01南墨爾本 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02弗里曼特爾城FC signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

南墨爾本 vs 弗里曼特爾城FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

南墨爾本 73%, 16%,弗里曼特爾城FC 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · 大2.5 57% · Current selection