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INT Australia Cup · Trận đấu ·

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.86 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng35%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng40%
Baseline forecastĐội khách thắngTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng40% selection probability
Projected score1–1South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài54% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
35% / 25% / 40%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Cơ hội kép1275%1.33
Tài 54% · Xỉu 46%Goals 2.5Tài54%1.85
Có 58% · Không 42%Cả hai đội ghi bàn58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.6 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
South Melbourne win35%2.86
Hòa25%4.00
Fremantle City FC win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Melbourne1.38

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 48.3%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 54% · Xỉu 46%

Fremantle City FC1.48

Khách share of expected goals 51.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 58% · Không 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

South Melbourne

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Fremantle City FC

2.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Điểm11

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Thắng probability excluding draw
40%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.38
Expected goals
1.48
South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Melbourne signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fremantle City FC signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

South Melbourne thắng 35%,Hòa 25%,Fremantle City FC thắng 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Tài 2.5 54% · Current selection Tài