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INT Australien - Pokal · Kamp ·

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.86 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr35%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr40%
Baseline forecastUdesejrTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr40% selection probability
Projected score1–1South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
35% / 25% / 40%KampresultatUdesejr40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Dobbeltchance1275%1.33
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 58% · Nej 42%Begge hold scorerJa58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
South Melbourne win35%2.86
Uafgjort25%4.00
Fremantle City FC win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Melbourne1.38

Hjemme share of expected goals 48.3%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Fremantle City FC1.48

Ude share of expected goals 51.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nej 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

South Melbourne

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Fremantle City FC

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vundet probability excluding draw
40%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.38
Expected goals
1.48
South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Melbourne signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fremantle City FC signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

South Melbourne vundet 35%,Uafgjort 25%,Fremantle City FC vundet 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over