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INT Puchar Australii · Mecz ·

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.86 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy35%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości40%
Baseline forecastWygrana gościTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości40% selection probability
Projected score1–1South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
35% / 25% / 40%Wynik meczuWygrana gości40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Podwójna szansa1275%1.33
Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%Goals 2.5Powyżej54%1.85
Tak 58% · Nie 42%Obie drużyny strzeląTak58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
South Melbourne win35%2.86
Remis25%4.00
Fremantle City FC win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Melbourne1.38

Gospodarze share of expected goals 48.3%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%

Fremantle City FC1.48

Goście share of expected goals 51.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 58% · Nie 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

South Melbourne

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Fremantle City FC

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
40%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.38
Expected goals
1.48
South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Melbourne signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fremantle City FC signalGospodarze clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

South Melbourne wygrana 35%,Remis 25%,Fremantle City FC wygrana 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Powyżej 2.5 54% · Current selection Powyżej