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INT Австралия - Купа · Мач ·

Южен Мелбърн vs ФК Фримантъл Сити

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.86 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина35%
Равен25%
Победа за госта40%
Baseline forecastПобеда за гостаTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Южен МелбърнФК Фримантъл Сити
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
35% / 25% / 40%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Двоен шанс1275%1.33
Над 54% · Под 46%Goals 2.5Над54%1.85
Да 58% · Не 42%И двата отбора да отбележатДа58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Южен Мелбърн win35%2.86
Равен25%4.00
ФК Фримантъл Сити win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Южен Мелбърн1.38

Домакин share of expected goals 48.3%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 54% · Под 46%

ФК Фримантъл Сити1.48

Гост share of expected goals 51.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Не 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Южен Мелбърн

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФК Фримантъл Сити

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
40%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.38
Expected goals
1.48
Южен МелбърнФК Фримантъл Сити
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Южен Мелбърн signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Фримантъл Сити signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Южен Мелбърн vs ФК Фримантъл Сити FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Южен Мелбърн печеливш 35%,Равен 25%,ФК Фримантъл Сити печеливш 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Над 2.5 54% · Current selection Над