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INT Austraalia karikas · Mäng ·

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit73%
Viik16%
Võõrsilvõit11%
Market-based forecastKoduvõitTier B · 73% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit73% selection probability
Projected score2–1South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle57% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
73% / 16% / 11%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fremantle City FC win (10.9%)Topeltvõimalus1X89.1%1.12
Üle 57% · Alla 43%Goals 2.5Üle57%1.75
Jah 55% · Ei 45%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah55%1.82
2.91 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.6 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimPuudub
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
South Melbourne win73%1.371.1876.5%
Viik16%6.256.2514.4%
Fremantle City FC win11%9.0910.009%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Melbourne1.98

Kodu share of expected goals 68%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 57% · Alla 43%

Fremantle City FC0.93

Võõras share of expected goals 32%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 55% · Ei 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

South Melbourne

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Fremantle City FC

2.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punktid11

SignalKodu clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Võit probability excluding draw
11%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.98
Expected goals
0.93
South MelbourneFremantle City FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Melbourne signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fremantle City FC signalKodu clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

South Melbourne vs Fremantle City FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

South Melbourne võit 73%,Viik 16%,Fremantle City FC võit 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Üle 2.5 57% · Current selection Üle