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AUT オーストリア ブンデスリーガ · Round 1 ·

ハルトベルク vs SKシュトゥルム・グラーツ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利32%
引き分け31%
アウェイ勝利37%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ハルトベルクSKシュトゥルム・グラーツ
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー61% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
32% / 31% / 37%試合結果アウェイ勝利37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.7%)ダブルチャンス1269.3%1.44
オーバー 39% · アンダー 61%Goals 2.5アンダー61%1.64
はい 46% · いいえ 54%両チーム得点いいえ54%1.85
2.25 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ハルトベルク win32%3.13
引き分け31%3.23
SKシュトゥルム・グラーツ win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ハルトベルク1.06

ホーム share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 39% · アンダー 61%

SKシュトゥルム・グラーツ1.19

アウェイ share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 46% · いいえ 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ハルトベルク

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

SKシュトゥルム・グラーツ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
勝ち probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.06
Expected goals
1.19
ハルトベルクSKシュトゥルム・グラーツ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ハルトベルク signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SKシュトゥルム・グラーツ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

ハルトベルク vs SKシュトゥルム・グラーツ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ハルトベルク 勝ち 32%,引き分け 31%,SKシュトゥルム・グラーツ 勝ち 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · オーバー 2.5 39% · Current selection アンダー