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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Round 2 ·

Hartberg vs SK Sturm Graz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr21%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr54%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr54% selection probability
Projected score1–1HartbergSK Sturm Graz
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
21% / 26% / 54%KampresultatUdesejr54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hartberg win (20.7%)DobbeltchanceX279.3%1.26
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapHartberg winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hartberg win21%4.764.7519.8%+1.2 pp
Uafgjort26%3.853.7525%+1.0 pp
SK Sturm Graz win54%1.851.7055.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hartberg1.07

Hjemme share of expected goals 48.2%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

SK Sturm Graz1.15

Ude share of expected goals 51.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Hartberg

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Vundet probability excluding draw
54%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.07
Expected goals
1.15
HartbergSK Sturm Graz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hartberg signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Sturm Graz signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Hartberg vs SK Sturm Graz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hartberg vundet 21%,Uafgjort 26%,SK Sturm Graz vundet 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under