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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Round 2 ·

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa21%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite54%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite54% selection probability
Projected score1–1HartbergSturm Graz
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
21% / 25% / 54%Esito partitaVittoria ospite54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hartberg win (20.6%)Doppia ChanceX279.4%1.26
Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%Goals 2.5Sotto61%1.64
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapHartberg winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hartberg win21%4.764.7519.8%+1.2 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
Sturm Graz win54%1.851.7055.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hartberg1.06

Casa share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%

Sturm Graz1.19

Trasferta share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Hartberg

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sturm Graz

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Vinta probability excluding draw
54%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.06
Expected goals
1.19
HartbergSturm Graz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hartberg signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sturm Graz signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Hartberg vs Sturm Graz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hartberg vinta 21%,Pareggio 25%,Sturm Graz vinta 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Sopra 2.5 39% · Current selection Sotto