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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Round 1 ·

Hartberg vs SK Sturm Graz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy21%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości54%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości54% selection probability
Projected score1–1HartbergSK Sturm Graz
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej61% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
21% / 25% / 54%Wynik meczuWygrana gości54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hartberg win (20.6%)Podwójna szansaX279.4%1.26
Powyżej 39% · Poniżej 61%Goals 2.5Poniżej61%1.64
Tak 46% · Nie 54%Obie drużyny strzeląNie54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.8 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapHartberg winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hartberg win21%4.764.7519.8%+1.2 pp
Remis25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
SK Sturm Graz win54%1.851.7055.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hartberg1.06

Gospodarze share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 39% · Poniżej 61%

SK Sturm Graz1.19

Goście share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 46% · Nie 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Hartberg

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
54%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.06
Expected goals
1.19
HartbergSK Sturm Graz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hartberg signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Sturm Graz signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Hartberg vs SK Sturm Graz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hartberg wygrana 21%,Remis 25%,SK Sturm Graz wygrana 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Powyżej 2.5 39% · Current selection Poniżej