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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Round 2 ·

TSV Hartberg vs SK Sturm Graz

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích21%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostů54%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů54% selection probability
Projected score1–1TSV HartbergSK Sturm Graz
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně61% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
21% / 25% / 54%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes TSV Hartberg win (20.6%)Dvojitá šanceX279.4%1.26
Více 39% · Méně 61%Goals 2.5Méně61%1.64
Ano 46% · Ne 54%Oba týmy skórujíNe54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.8 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapTSV Hartberg winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
TSV Hartberg win21%4.764.7519.8%+1.2 pp
Remíza25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
SK Sturm Graz win54%1.851.7055.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

TSV Hartberg1.06

Domácí share of expected goals 47.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 39% · Méně 61%

SK Sturm Graz1.19

Hosté share of expected goals 52.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 46% · Ne 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

TSV Hartberg

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Výhra probability excluding draw
54%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.06
Expected goals
1.19
TSV HartbergSK Sturm Graz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01TSV Hartberg signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Sturm Graz signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

TSV Hartberg vs SK Sturm Graz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 1–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

TSV Hartberg výhra 21%,Remíza 25%,SK Sturm Graz výhra 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Více 2.5 39% · Current selection Méně