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モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ vs ペニャロール

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.90 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利34%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利38%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–2モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケペニャロール
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー55% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
34% / 28% / 38%試合結果アウェイ勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)ダブルチャンス1272.1%1.39
オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%Goals 2.5オーバー55%1.82
はい 59% · いいえ 41%両チーム得点はい59%1.69
2.90 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ win34%2.94
引き分け28%3.57
ペニャロール win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ1.38

ホーム share of expected goals 47.6%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%

ペニャロール1.52

アウェイ share of expected goals 52.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 59% · いいえ 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ペニャロール

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
勝ち probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.38
Expected goals
1.52
モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケペニャロール
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ペニャロール signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ vs ペニャロール FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

モンテビデオ・シティ・トルケ 勝ち 34%,引き分け 28%,ペニャロール 勝ち 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · オーバー 2.5 55% · Current selection オーバー