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URY Uruguay Clausura · Maç ·

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–22.89 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır34%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır38%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır38% selection probability
Projected score1–2Montevideo City TorquePenarol
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst55% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
34% / 28% / 38%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Çifte Şans1272%1.39
Üst 55% · Alt 45%Goals 2.5Üst55%1.82
Evet 59% · Hayır 41%Karşılıklı gol varEvet59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
9.2 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Montevideo City Torque win34%2.94
Beraberlik28%3.57
Penarol win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montevideo City Torque1.37

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 55% · Alt 45%

Penarol1.52

Deplasman share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 59% · Hayır 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Penarol

0.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puan2

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.37
Expected goals
1.52
Montevideo City TorquePenarol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montevideo City Torque signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penarol signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montevideo City Torque kazanç 34%,Beraberlik 28%,Penarol kazanç 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · 2.5 Üst 55% · Current selection Üst