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URY Ουρουγουάη - Κλαουσούρα · Αγώνας ·

Μοντεβιδέο Σίτι Τόρκε vs Πενιαρόλ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.89 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου34%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου38%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου38% selection probability
Projected score1–2Μοντεβιδέο Σίτι ΤόρκεΠενιαρόλ
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω55% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
34% / 28% / 38%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1272%1.39
Άνω 55% · Κάτω 45%Goals 2.5Άνω55%1.82
Ναι 59% · Όχι 41%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
9.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μοντεβιδέο Σίτι Τόρκε win34%2.94
Ισοπαλία28%3.57
Πενιαρόλ win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μοντεβιδέο Σίτι Τόρκε1.37

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 55% · Κάτω 45%

Πενιαρόλ1.52

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 59% · Όχι 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μοντεβιδέο Σίτι Τόρκε

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Πενιαρόλ

0.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Πόντοι2

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.37
Expected goals
1.52
Μοντεβιδέο Σίτι ΤόρκεΠενιαρόλ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μοντεβιδέο Σίτι Τόρκε signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Πενιαρόλ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Μοντεβιδέο Σίτι Τόρκε vs Πενιαρόλ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μοντεβιδέο Σίτι Τόρκε νίκη 34%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Πενιαρόλ νίκη 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Άνω 2.5 55% · Current selection Άνω