Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
34% / 28% / 38%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Doble Oportunidad1272.1%1.39
Más de 55% · Menos de 45%Goals 2.5Más de55%1.82
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcanSí59%1.69
2.90 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2——
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Montevideo City Torque win34%2.94
Empate28%3.57
Peñarol win38%2.63
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Local share of expected goals 47.6%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Más de 55% · Menos de 45%
Visitante share of expected goals 52.4%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitSí 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Local-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchMontevideo City Torque
DWWLW
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10
SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchPeñarol
LDDLL
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2
SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
34%
Ganado probability excluding draw
38%10
Points from supplied form
21.38
Expected goals
1.52Montevideo City TorquePeñarol
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Montevideo City Torque vs Peñarol FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Montevideo City Torque ganada 34%，Empate 28%，Peñarol ganada 38%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Más de 2.5 55% · Current selection Más de。