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URY Uruguay - Clausura · Mérkőzés ·

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–22.89 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem34%
Döntetlen28%
Vendég győzelem38%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem38% selection probability
Projected score1–2Montevideo City TorquePenarol
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett55% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
34% / 28% / 38%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dupla esély1272%1.39
Felett 55% · Alatt 45%Goals 2.5Felett55%1.82
Igen 59% · Nem 41%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–2
9.2 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Montevideo City Torque win34%2.94
Döntetlen28%3.57
Penarol win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montevideo City Torque1.37

Hazai share of expected goals 47.4%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 55% · Alatt 45%

Penarol1.52

Vendég share of expected goals 52.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitIgen 59% · Nem 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Penarol

0.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontok2

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Nyert probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.37
Expected goals
1.52
Montevideo City TorquePenarol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montevideo City Torque signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penarol signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montevideo City Torque nyer 34%,Döntetlen 28%,Penarol nyer 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · 2.5 felett 55% · Current selection Felett