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URY Uruguaj - Clausura · Zápas ·

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–22.90 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich34%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí38%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí38% selection probability
Projected score1–2Montevideo City TorquePenarol
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac55% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
34% / 28% / 38%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Dvojitá šanca1272.1%1.39
Viac 55% · Menej 45%Goals 2.5Viac55%1.82
Áno 59% · Nie 41%Oba tímy skórujúÁno59%1.69
2.90 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Montevideo City Torque win34%2.94
Remíza28%3.57
Penarol win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Montevideo City Torque1.38

Domáci share of expected goals 47.6%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 55% · Menej 45%

Penarol1.52

Hostia share of expected goals 52.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 59% · Nie 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Penarol

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Výhra probability excluding draw
38%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.38
Expected goals
1.52
Montevideo City TorquePenarol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Montevideo City Torque signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Penarol signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Montevideo City Torque vs Penarol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Montevideo City Torque výhra 34%,Remíza 28%,Penarol výhra 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Viac 2.5 55% · Current selection Viac