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URY Uruguay - Torneo Clausura · Partido ·

Nacional De Football vs Boston River

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local35%
Empate34%
Victoria visitante31%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nacional De FootballBoston River
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de74% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
35% / 34% / 31%Resultado del partidoVictoria local35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boston River win (31.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X68.8%1.45
Más de 26% · Menos de 74%Goals 2.5Menos de74%1.35
Sí 35% · No 65%Ambos equipos marcanNo65%1.54
1.78 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Nacional De Football win35%2.86
Empate34%2.94
Boston River win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional De Football0.94

Local share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 26% · Menos de 74%

Boston River0.84

Visitante share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Nacional De Football

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Boston River

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Ganado probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
3
0.94
Expected goals
0.84
Nacional De FootballBoston River
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional De Football signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Boston River signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Nacional De Football vs Boston River FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional De Football ganada 35%,Empate 34%,Boston River ganada 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Más de 2.5 26% · Current selection Menos de