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URY Уругвай - Клаусура · Матч ·

Насьональ де Футбол vs Бостон Ривер

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.77 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев35%
Ничья34%
Победа гостей31%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Насьональ де ФутболБостон Ривер
Expected goals1.77Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше74% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
35% / 34% / 31%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Бостон Ривер win (31.1%)Двойной шанс1X68.9%1.45
Больше 26% · Меньше 74%Goals 2.5Меньше74%1.35
Да 35% · Нет 65%Обе забьютНет65%1.54
1.77 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Насьональ де Футбол win35%2.86
Ничья34%2.94
Бостон Ривер win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Насьональ де Футбол0.94

Хозяева share of expected goals 53.1%

Total expected goals1.77Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 26% · Меньше 74%

Бостон Ривер0.83

Гости share of expected goals 46.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 35% · Нет 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Насьональ де Футбол

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Бостон Ривер

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
3
0.94
Expected goals
0.83
Насьональ де ФутболБостон Ривер
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Насьональ де Футбол signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Бостон Ривер signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Насьональ де Футбол vs Бостон Ривер FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Насьональ де Футбол выигрыш 35%,Ничья 34%,Бостон Ривер выигрыш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.77 · ТБ 2.5 26% · Current selection Меньше