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URY Uruguay - Tournoi de clôture · Match ·

Club Nacional de Footbal vs Boston River

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile35%
Nul34%
Victoire à l’extérieur31%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Nacional de FootbalBoston River
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de74% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
35% / 34% / 31%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boston River win (31.2%)Double chance1X68.8%1.45
Plus de 26% · Moins de 74%Goals 2.5Moins de74%1.35
Oui 35% · Non 65%Les deux équipes marquentNon65%1.54
1.78 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Club Nacional de Footbal win35%2.86
Nul34%2.94
Boston River win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Nacional de Footbal0.94

Domicile share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 26% · Moins de 74%

Boston River0.84

Extérieur share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 35% · Non 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Club Nacional de Footbal

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Boston River

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gagné probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
3
0.94
Expected goals
0.84
Club Nacional de FootbalBoston River
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Nacional de Footbal signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Boston River signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Club Nacional de Footbal vs Boston River FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Nacional de Footbal victoire 35%,Nul 34%,Boston River victoire 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Plus de 2.5 26% · Current selection Moins de