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URY Uruguay - Clausura · Wedstrijd ·

Nacional De Football vs Boston River

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst35%
Gelijkspel34%
Uitwinst31%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nacional De FootballBoston River
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder74% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
35% / 34% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Boston River win (31.2%)Dubbele Kans1X68.8%1.45
Boven 26% · Onder 74%Goals 2.5Onder74%1.35
Ja 35% · Nee 65%Beide teams scorenNee65%1.54
1.78 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Nacional De Football win35%2.86
Gelijkspel34%2.94
Boston River win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional De Football0.94

Thuis share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 26% · Onder 74%

Boston River0.84

Uit share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 35% · Nee 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Nacional De Football

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Boston River

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
3
0.94
Expected goals
0.84
Nacional De FootballBoston River
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional De Football signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Boston River signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Nacional De Football vs Boston River FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional De Football gewonnen 35%,Gelijkspel 34%,Boston River gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Boven 2.5 26% · Current selection Onder