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POL ポーランド エクストラクラサ · Round 1 ·

コロナキエルツェ vs レギア・ワルシャワ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.99 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利33%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利38%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–1コロナキエルツェレギア・ワルシャワ
Expected goals1.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー68% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
33% / 29% / 38%試合結果アウェイ勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)ダブルチャンス1271%1.41
オーバー 32% · アンダー 68%Goals 2.5アンダー68%1.47
はい 40% · いいえ 60%両チーム得点いいえ60%1.67
1.99 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapレギア・ワルシャワ winDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
コロナキエルツェ win33%3.032.8032.9%+0.1 pp
引き分け29%3.453.2028.8%+0.2 pp
レギア・ワルシャワ win38%2.632.4038.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

コロナキエルツェ1.04

ホーム share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals1.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 32% · アンダー 68%

レギア・ワルシャワ0.95

アウェイ share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 40% · いいえ 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

コロナキエルツェ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

レギア・ワルシャワ

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
勝ち probability excluding draw
38%
5
Points from supplied form
15
1.04
Expected goals
0.95
コロナキエルツェレギア・ワルシャワ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01コロナキエルツェ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02レギア・ワルシャワ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

コロナキエルツェ vs レギア・ワルシャワ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

コロナキエルツェ 勝ち 33%,引き分け 29%,レギア・ワルシャワ 勝ち 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.99 · オーバー 2.5 32% · Current selection アンダー